Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.111385 0.123549 0.136067 0.149883 0.164673 0.180005 0.197070
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.092174 0.110394 0.130137 0.152988 0.178574 0.206211 0.238188
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.082106 0.105045 0.131007 0.162241 0.198471 0.238854 0.286944
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.074382 0.100904 0.132082 0.170839 0.217120 0.270026 0.334472
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.064749 0.093055 0.127574 0.171830 0.226110 0.289590 0.368484
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.055052 0.083886 0.120360 0.168545 0.229165 0.301580 0.393249
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050840 0.081260 0.120893 0.174497 0.243267 0.326752 0.433898
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.046531 0.077971 0.120128 0.178444 0.254647 0.348546 0.470587
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.042265 0.074257 0.118388 0.180780 0.263753 0.367439 0.503793
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.038054 0.070163 0.115738 0.181570 0.270620 0.383409 0.533397
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.037904 0.072093 0.121511 0.193863 0.292771 0.419084 0.588201
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034922 0.069349 0.120367 0.196435 0.301900 0.438069 0.622018
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.032112 0.066814 0.119629 0.199895 0.312818 0.460262 0.661261
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.028751 0.063070 0.116877 0.200384 0.319736 0.477459 0.694554
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.027908 0.063512 0.120485 0.210166 0.339698 0.512237 0.751235
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.027112 0.063936 0.124027 0.219888 0.359721 0.547362 0.808806
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024558 0.060894 0.121823 0.220820 0.367174 0.565524 0.844065
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.021311 0.056166 0.116545 0.216784 0.367287 0.573599 0.865914
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020408 0.055860 0.118504 0.223859 0.383506 0.603825 0.917620
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.019162 0.054726 0.118969 0.228554 0.396277 0.629423 0.963352
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017710 0.052995 0.118277 0.231334 0.406210 0.651156 1.004046
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.016108 0.050745 0.116513 0.232273 0.413345 0.669003 1.039590
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.016592 0.053141 0.123116 0.246909 0.441227 0.716271 1.115715